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#swing states
  • Democracy & Government
    Unsanitized, Election Edition: Nobody Knows Anything
    November 5, 2020
    | David Dayen

    There’s no single narrative throughline that cleanly explains last night. It’s time to throw FiveThirtyEight and the polling-analysis-industrial complex into the ocean, but if you’re grasping for a story to reinforce your priors, you’re unlikely to find it.

  • Fight to Vote
    If Trump Tries to Sue His Way to Election Victory, Here’s What Happens
    November 5, 2020
    | Ian MacDougall

    Regardless of who wins the presidency, courtroom battles seem almost certain. Here’s a layperson’s look at the states and laws that may determine the outcome.

  • Letters From an American
    To Count or Not to Count?
    November 5, 2020
    | Heather Cox Richardson

    Remember: the fact that polling officials are taking time to count the ballots is a good thing, not a bad one. And there is no reason to think election officials are being anything but careful.

  • Letters From an American
    What's that Electoral College for Again?
    November 4, 2020
    | Heather Cox Richardson

    Tonight, the election returns look relatively good for Trump, which is why he talked about claiming a victory at the end of election night. This is the so-called “red mirage.” But as the mail-in ballots get counted, everyone expects the Democratic numbers to climb fast and far.

  • Letters From an American
    Hot on the Trail
    October 29, 2020
    | Heather Cox Richardson

    Today marks the beginning of the last week of the 2020 campaign. The candidates are making their closing arguments to voters.

  • Money & Politics
    Unsanitized, Election Edition: Following the (Cancelled) Money
    October 29, 2020
    | David Dayen

    At some level, the ad cancellations are more accurate than the polls on the big questions of who may win easily and who’s still in a fight.

  • Democracy & Government
    Millions of Americans Voting Early in What Could be Record Election Turnout
    October 16, 2020
    | Sam Levine

    Election day is still weeks away, but a staggering 17.1 million voters have already cast their ballots either by mail or in person, according to data collected by Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who closely tracks voter turnout.



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